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Indeed, I feel like we are in the early computer equivalent phase of AI, where giant expensive hardware is still required for frontier models. In 5 years I bet there will be fully open models we'll be able to run on a few $1000 of consumer hardware with equivalent performance to opus 4.7/4.6.


You'll never have the power of what they have though. Cloud capital is insane.

So you can run 1 agent locally on $1k to $3k hardware

They can run a fleet of thousands


I think intelligence per compute will go up significantly in the coming years, while the cost per compute will drop significantly. No way to know for sure, so I guess we'll see


But does one individual need a fleet of thousands of agents?




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